The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts a significant rise in European liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports of 25% in 2025.
This increase is driven by lower piped gas imports and stronger domestic demand, necessitating higher LNG imports to meet energy needs.
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In contrast, Asia’s LNG imports are forecast to decline due to strong competition from Europe for flexible LNG cargoes.
Global gas demand growth is expected to slow to around 1.5% in the same year due to tight market conditions and macroeconomic uncertainties.
An international Summit on the Future of Energy Security will be held by the IEA and the UK Government on 24–25 April 2025 to address energy security risks.
Following the gas supply shock of 2022/23, natural gas demand returned to structural growth in 2024, with Europe and North America experiencing increased consumption due to weather conditions.
In contrast, Asia saw a slowdown in gas demand growth due to higher LNG prices and milder winters, particularly in China.
According to the forecast report, tighter market fundamentals have led to upward pressure on gas prices, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions.
Below-average growth in global LNG output and reduced piped gas exports from Russia to the EU have kept supply tight, increasing reliance on gas storage and reserve mechanisms.
In Europe, gas consumption rose nearly 10% year-on-year due to lower renewable electricity output, while in North America, a colder winter pushed gas consumption to an all-time high.
In Asia, gas demand growth slowed, with China’s demand declining by around 2% year-on-year due to milder weather and high LNG spot prices.
In Eurasia, natural gas consumption decreased by an estimated 3% year-on-year due to a mild winter in Russia.
In Europe, lower piped gas imports from Norway and Russia increased reliance on underground storage facilities.
The EU saw net storage withdrawals grow by more than 50% year-on-year, accounting for more than 30% of natural gas demand during the November–March period.
In the US, higher gas consumption led to a 40% increase in storage draws compared with the previous year.